2019 photovoltaic industry chain capacity analysis!

From the point of niche, single crystal PERC cell demand continue to increase. Data according to the photovoltaic industry association in 2018, domestic monocrystal PERC cell city share to 33. In 2019 and 5% proportion will be more than half, up to 50. To further improve 6%, 2021 to 60. 8%. At present in the whole industrial chain effect under the background of authors, trend of single crystal. At the same time, because of single crystal around the PERC line %, from its theory still has room to improve efficiency, and heterostructure, the IBC route cost, technology and patent at present bottlenecks, temporarily don't have the ability to mass replace the PERC route and route of single crystal in recent years is still the mainstream industry development route.

because of monocrystalline silicon technology difficulty is high, and increased demand, so also accelerate the expansion of key enterprises, strengthen its dominant position within the industry. Longji stake in 28 2018 gw capacity based on the plan up to 36 gigawatts (gw), 2019, 2021 to 65 gigawatts (gw). Shares at the same time, the central 25 gw of capacity in 2018, based on the 2019 plan, through the technological transformation to raise its capacity to 30 gw, and start the central five phase of the project construction, form the total 50 gw silicon wafer production capacity.

prices recently, according to silicon industry branch, the recent single crystal with dense material average price in July. 470000 yuan/ton, since April in 0. 3%, polycrystalline material average 6. 310000 yuan/ton, since April in 0. 5%. The price picks up on the one hand, under the current price level, in addition to nearly 1 - 2 years industry expansion of new capacity, most of the second and third tier enterprise capacity almost are losing money; On the other hand, the enterprise through the shutdown overhaul downward price pressure of production, result in a silicon material supply pressure decreases. As started in the second half of the domestic demand, the global demand continues to grow, silicon material price after adjustment is expected to be bottoming out and the silicon price forming good support.

photovoltaic parity on the Internet wave coming, monocrystalline silicon product demand increased significantly. In recent years, along with the development of photovoltaic power station china-africa component costs of growing downstream power plant developers to also increase the efficiency of the component requirements.

demand side, in June of 2019, China has reached 5 photovoltaic modules export. 97 gigawatts (gw), an increase of 95. 1-9% Total exports 32 in June. 22 gigawatts (gw), an increase of 86. 05%. Because pv costs down, overall growth in overseas markets in 2019, is expected to overseas market pv installed by 60 gw surged last year to around 85 gw.

in addition, although the off season in July for the industry, and release of supply-side capacity increase, prices callback to the inevitable, as domestic bidding project results, domestic demand is expected to be fully launched in August.

with photovoltaic bidding project import, domestic photovoltaic power demand picks up, the photovoltaic industry chain each link is expected to usher in sales growth. Agency global photovoltaic power demand in 2019 is expected to more than 120 gigawatts (gw), according to the 3 g/W, will reach 360000 tons of polysilicon material demand.

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