【 One Belt And One Road 】 Poland pv demand analysis

The polish population, about 38 million people, in recent years, local economic conditions, joint domestic demand increase after reform and opening up, 2018 annual GDP growth rate of 5. 1%, is one of the fastest growing country in the eu region, on the other hand, due to the polish close to Western Europe, combined with the local has a lower labor cost, the high quality of human resources and make the investment environment by overseas companies as a portal into Western Europe market.

sunshine amount, different amount of sunlight also vary according to region, northern average amount per square metre in rizhao in 900 - 1000 kilowatt hours, the average per square metre in central and southern sunshine amount about fall in the 1100 - year About 1200 KWH.

strong Poland wants to get rid of the situation of long-term dependence on coal-fired power generation, renewable energy development started early, therefore, in 2009 - Launched in 2010, national renewable energy action plan ( 国家可再生能源行动计划) Stimulate the industry development, and in recent years, the local economy began to enter, energy demand is bullish, renewable energy has become one of the focus on the development of local energy.

in 2018, released in November 2040, energy policy, PEP2040) , this paper will set in 2020 and 2030, respectively, 15% and 27% of renewable energy power generation accounted for, including locking of the renewable energy project for solar, wind and biofuels ( Including raw biomass and biogas) 。

Poland net metering electricity price policy ≦ lock capacity of 40 kw small pv projects, including policy specification project capacity in 10 kw ( ) The electricity generated by pv projects and closing shall enjoy per kilowatt hours of electricity 80% subsidy. And capacity in 40 kW, 10 kW ≦ project closing to 70% per kilowatt hours of electricity subsidies.

electricity price bidding PPA in mid - 2016 after replacing the green electricity proof system, has so far held three rounds of the renewable energy electricity price bidding, in which the lowest bid price to PLN195 / MWh ( ~ 52美元。 6/MWh) , other bid information is as follows:

photovoltaic development, Poland early on net metering electricity and give priority to stimulate demand green credentials, lock project is to household or industrial and commercial distributed is given priority to, almost no demand exists large projects in the local. Also due to start early makes distributed project in Poland local cumulative installed capacity compared with large projects.

at the same time, the huge investment in tong wei project constantly fall to the ground, the other giant solar cells are also on the expansion of production capacity.

in June 2016, after the government resolution photovoltaic green credentials will exit, to promote the electricity price bidding to stimulate large-scale project requirements, so far has held three rounds of the renewable energy standard case and a mixed in large scale wind power and photovoltaic. From the point of the case mentioned in the project, the third round of the project in May this year began to have cargo demand. According to

PVInfoLink customs database statistics, in September 2018, after Europe MIP cancel, the number of components in the third quarter China shipment to Poland to have obvious improvement.

in the first quarter of 2019 component shipments have reached 22. 5 mw, the component demand may be part of bidding is used in November last year to complete the project.

total amount from the current shipment quantity is not much, but considering bidding project of installed demand and the goal are required to complete 2020 or even 2025, estimates of future demand for components there is room for continued growth.

Poland by net metering electricity and green electricity certificates past transactions on photovoltaic industry development, and then the green electricity to have bid renewable energy to replace credentials, make large project requirements gradually emerge, so far has completed three rounds of the renewable energy bidding project, but distance future vision has a development space, the future is expected to continue to launch in large scale and goals.

in the future, according to the provisions of the polish government planning, the future photovoltaic (pv) still has very big development space, in order to achieve the goal, the bidding project is expected to continue, when large project demand growth forecasts also apply beyond the net metering electricity distributed project, installed proportion will increase too.

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